Mr. Smarty Man

NFL Prediction

New York Giants vs. New England Patriots Prediction

Super Bowl winner prediction for the 2011-2012 season.

February 3, 2012

By Scott Croco

Patriots

The Giants have played very well in the post-season, dispatching the Falcons, Packers, and 49ers, three tough teams. The Patriots clear strength is its passing offense. Their passing game is so dominant it compensates for their other weaknesses. Which team will win the Super Bowl?

Giants Patriots
12 - 7 Record 15 - 3
12.4 Strength of Schedule 8.7

 

Offense

The Giants have shown an ability to make big plays and have continued to do so in the playoffs. The Giants regular season offensive score was 30.8 and their post-season offensive score is 38.4. The Patriots offense can seemingly score at will, using a unique double tight end attack (they might be in trouble if Gronkowski isn't at full health). Their regular season offensive score was 42.2 and their post-season offensive score is 43.2.

Edge: Patriots


Defense

New York is known for their athletic and troublemaking defensive line. After an unimpressive regular season, this unit has played very well in the playoffs. The Giants regular season defensive score was 13.4 and their post-season defensive score is 27.5. The Patriots' defense is suspect, but has improved in the playoffs. Bill Belichick is a great coach and game-planner, but their defense has not exactly been winning games for them this year. The Patriots regular season defensive score was 11.4 and their post-season defensive score is 17.8.

Edge: Giants


Special Teams

The Giants' special teams are nothing to get excited about, their regular season special teams score was 3.4 and their post-season special teams score is 2.1. New England has been good on special teams this year, great on punt coverage, but have dipped a little during he playoffs. The Patriots regular season special teams score was 6.4 and their post-season special teams score is 5.2.

Edge: Patriots


Miscellaneous

The Giants played tougher opponents, while the Pats have a better record. They have similar turnover ratios, the Giants tend to get called for more penalties, and New England's big point differential gives them a small edge.

Edge: Patriots


Final Verdict!

The Giants have played markedly better in the playoffs than in the regular season. The Patriots have also improved in the playoffs, but not at the same increase of the Giants. The Giants improved 25% on offense and 105% on defense. The Patriots improved 2% on offense and 56% on defense. This is a close one.

Predicted Winner: Patriots

Stats:
Team Y MSM Off Def ST Misc
New York Giants 2011-2012 81.70 34.0 19.4 2.8 11.3
New England Patriots 2011-2012 90.16 42.6 13.6 6.0 12.6
     

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